Why are prices rising and what is the inflation rate in the US? (2024)

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Why are prices rising and what is the inflation rate in the US? (1)Image source, Getty Images

Prices across the economy are rising faster than they have done for 40 years.

The increase in the cost of living is putting a squeeze on people's finances, as incomes fail to keep up.

What is inflation?

Inflation is the increase in the price of something over time.

For example, if a slice of pizza costs $1 and that rises by 25 cents compared with a year earlier, then pizza inflation is 25%.

Every month in countries like the US and UK, the government releases a new figure estimating how much prices are rising overall.

Many countries are reporting multi-decade highs, including the US where inflation hit 9.1% in June, the fastest rate since 1981. The inflation rate in August was 8.3%.

  • Why is inflation in the US so high?

  • Eurozone raises rates for first time in 11 years

  • Fuel, milk and eggs push inflation to 40-year high

The International Monetary Fund expects inflation to reach 6.6% in advanced economies and 9.5% in emerging market and developing economies.

What is causing inflation?

Many things are contributing to the high rate of inflation, including:

In the US, the rise in inflation started during the pandemic, as government spending, including cheques for families, kept demand unusually high. In many other parts of the world, such as Europe, the problem stems from more recent issues, like the war in Ukraine.

Image source, Getty Images

How do we measure inflation?

To come up with an inflation figure, government statisticians track the prices of thousands of everyday items. This is known as the "basket of goods".

The basket is updated regularly to reflect changes in what people are buying and differs depending on the country.

  • Sports bras in, doughnuts out of shopping baskets

For example, in the US, healthcare prices form a much bigger part of the overall calculation than in the UK, where medical bills tend to be a smaller part of people's expenses. By contrast, alcohol prices are weighted more heavily in the UK.

Each month's inflation figure shows how much these prices have risen since the year before. This is known as the Consumer Price Index (CPI).

How has inflation affected pay?

Pay increases haven't kept up with prices, even in countries like the US, where a hot labour market has pushed companies to increase wages.

When inflation is taken into account, the average hourly wage in the US was actually 2.8% lower in August than 12 months earlier. In the UK, pay is falling at its fastest rate since 2001, generating a cost of living crisis.

Image source, Reuters

Which countries are seeing the worst inflation?

The rising cost of living is a global phenomenon, as increased energy costs, shortages of goods and materials and the fallout from Covid affect countries around the world.

In recent months, countries with ties to Russia - like Estonia and Lithuania - have been hit particularly hard, a consequence of the war in Ukraine.

Changes to energy price caps are also affecting the rates, as in the UK, where an increase in the cap accounted for almost three quarters of the jump in inflation in April.

Meanwhile, oil producer Saudi Arabia is among the countries with the lowest inflation rates, while in Japan - which has historically struggled with inflation considered too low - it has remained relatively stable.

Image source, Reuters

When will inflation come down?

Many economists are hoping that the surge in prices will start to peak by the end of the year, reflecting the impact of central banks raising interest rates.

In the US, central bank policymakers expect inflation to fall below 3% in 2023.

But there are plenty of questions about whether that will happen. Historically, when inflation has risen above 9% it has taken years, not months, to recover.

Why are gas prices falling and will that help fight inflation?

Oil prices have recently fallen as production increases and investors bet an economic slowdown will reduce demand.

For consumers, that often means lower costs at the pump - though how fast gas stations decide to lower prices is typically driven by what kind of local competition they are facing.

If lower energy costs stick around, that should help slow prices increases throughout the economy.

But when economists think about inflation, they often focus less on food and energy prices, which tend to swing frequently. They are looking for a wider slowdown in price increases.

How do higher interest rates fight inflation?

Higher interest rates make it more expensive for businesses and households to borrow, which reduces demand and should, in theory, help to ease the pressures pushing up prices.

However, when inflation is caused by things like rising energy prices worldwide, some worry interest rate rises have more limited power.

Image source, Getty Images

What can Joe Biden do to fight inflation?

There are few easy answers for politicians. Economists say price caps, which some countries have implemented, only make the underlying problem worse by subsidising demand. They recommend targeted relief for the worst-off instead.

In the meantime, dissatisfaction over the issue means mounting political unrest around the world.

In Sri Lanka, where inflation is running at more than 50%, the crisis forced the resignation of the former president. Panama has also been home to major demonstrations, while worker strikes have disrupted the economy in Europe and the UK.

In the US, Joe Biden's approval ratings have sunk and his Democratic Party is widely expected to lose the next round of national elections in November.

Related Topics

  • US economy
  • Economy
  • Inflation
  • Cost of Living

More on this story

  • Why is inflation in the US so high?

    • Published

      14 June 2022

  • How quickly are prices rising in the UK?

    • Published

      1 day ago

  • How are other countries tackling energy bills?

    • Published

      21 December 2022

  • Ukraine war to cause 'worst price shock in 50 years'

    • Published

      26 April 2022

Why are prices rising and what is the inflation rate in the US? (2024)

FAQs

What is causing inflation to rise in the US? ›

As the labor market tightened during 2021 and 2022, core inflation rose as the ratio of job vacancies to unemployment increased. This ratio is used to measure wage pressures that then pass through to the prices for goods and services. As workers bargain for better pay, firms begin to increase prices.

Why are prices rising in the US? ›

Higher lumber costs, more expensive energy or electricity bills and pricier food expenses post-pandemic forced builders, factories and even restaurants to raise prices.

What are the five main causes of inflation? ›

What causes inflation?
  • Demand-pull. The most common cause for a rise in prices is when more buyers want a product or service than the seller has available. ...
  • Cost-push. Sometimes prices rise because costs go up on the supply side of the equation. ...
  • Increased money supply. ...
  • Devaluation. ...
  • Rising wages. ...
  • Monetary and fiscal policies.
Jul 19, 2024

What causes inflation in 2024? ›

In 2024, several factors may contribute to inflationary pressures, including pent-up consumer demand, rising commodity prices, and ongoing supply chain disruptions.

Who benefits from inflation? ›

Inflation allows borrowers to pay lenders back with money worth less than when it was originally borrowed, which benefits borrowers. When inflation causes higher prices, the demand for credit increases, raising interest rates, which benefits lenders.

What is the major contributor to US inflation? ›

In fact, most of the rise in inflation in 2021 and 2022 was driven by developments that directly raised prices rather than wages, including sharp increases in global commodity prices and sectoral price spikes driven by a combination of pandemic-induced kinks in supply chains and a huge shift in demand during the ...

What is the main driver of inflation? ›

Inflation may occur due to increases in production costs associated with raw materials or labor. Higher demand can also lead to inflation. Certain fiscal and monetary policies such as tax cuts or lower interest rates are also potential drivers.

Why are prices so inflated right now? ›

Corporate profits have contributed to inflation, though experts differ on the extent. A recent report from Groundwork Collaborative, a progressive advocacy group, argues that corporate profits drove 53% of inflation during the second and third quarters of 2023 and 34% since the start of the pandemic.

What products are hit hardest by inflation? ›

Currently, the main contributors to inflation are: shelter, transportation services and motor vehicle insurance. Shelter accounted for more than two-thirds (or 62 percent) of the annual 2.9 percent increase in July.

How to stop inflation? ›

Monetary policy primarily involves changing interest rates to control inflation. Fiscal policy enacted through legislative action also helps. Governments may reduce spending and increase taxes as a way to help reduce inflation.

Does government spending cause inflation? ›

Specifically, their results showed that: 42% of inflation could be attributed to government spending.

How bad is inflation right now? ›

Here's Why It Matters. Inflation increased 0.2% in July but rose 2.9% over the last 12 months compared to a year ago, in line with predictions.

Will prices ever go back down? ›

They're most likely gone forever. That's because prices, on average, are a one-way ticket, generally rising over time, and falling only when something has gone wrong with the economy. Officials at the Federal Reserve who set the nation's monetary policy are determined to keep it that way.

How can we stay ahead of inflation? ›

One strategy you can use in an effort to beat inflation is to increase the amount you're saving for retirement each pay period. Another strategy to help your savings stay ahead of inflation is to invest a larger portion of your money in assets that have the potential to earn inflation-beating returns.

How much has the cost of living gone up in the last 2 years? ›

Prices have grown about 20% overall since 2020, according to an analysis by the California Legislative Analyst's Office based on the most recent consumer price index data.

Did government spending cause inflation? ›

Increased federal spending helped the economy bounce back during the pandemic, but it also caused a surge in inflation, research reveals. Inflation is difficult to control. Its cause is often even harder to pinpoint.

Why is everything getting so expensive? ›

Like any other good or service, the value of money depends on supply and demand. If there is more money in the economy than the market can absorb, its value will come crashing down, and prices will increase. That is precisely what has been happening in America since 2020.

Why has the cost of living gone up? ›

Countries contend with high inflation and commodity prices, many with IMF support. A combination of climate shocks and the pandemic disrupted food and energy production and distribution, driving up costs for people around the world.

What caused the great inflation in the US? ›

While economists debate the relative importance of the factors that motivated and perpetuated inflation for more than a decade, there is little debate about its source. The origins of the Great Inflation were policies that allowed for an excessive growth in the supply of money—Federal Reserve policies.

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